Impact of crime violence on economic growth in Mexico
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.53732/rccsociales/e601122Keywords:
Economic growth, foreign investment, violence, social welfare, economic and social development, MexicoAbstract
The study analyzes the impact of crime violence on economic growth in Mexico. A quantitative approach was adopted with a cross-section in 2022. Multiple linear regression and multinomial logistic models were used to evaluate how government spending, gross capital formation, foreign direct investment and homicides affect the Gross Domestic Product per capita and the classification of states into high-, middle- and low-income levels. In a base scenario of 796.8 average homicides, the probability of medium income is 51.28%, low income is 23.13%, and high income is 25.57%. An increase to 1000 homicides increases the probability of low income to 33.48% and reduces that of middle income to 48.95% and high income to 17.55%. A decrease to 100 homicides reduces the probability of low income to 4.08% and increases that of high income to 58.20%. These findings highlight the importance of effective policies to reduce violence and improve public safety, favoring economic development and social well-being.
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